In this guide
  1. Why the exit comes first
  2. The exits we accept
  3. Evidence that carries weight
  4. Five mistakes behind most declines
  5. How to write it

Why the exit comes first

Private credit is short-term money. On a 3 to 60 month loan the lender is repaid by an event, not by monthly income: a sale, a refinance, a settlement. If that event doesn't happen on time, the loan is in default however good the security looks.

That is why we read the exit before we read the valuation. A good exit answers three questions: how the loan is repaid, by when, and what evidence says it will happen. Most declined scenarios answer the first question and skip the other two.

The exits we accept

Every exit below can work. What separates a fast yes from a no is the evidence that comes with it.

ExitHow the loan is repaidEvidence we want to see
Sale of completed stockUnits or lots sell and settlements repay the loanAgent appraisal, the project's sales rate since completion, exchanged contracts, a price list against recent comparable sales
Sale of the assetThe property is sold on the open marketIndependent valuation, agent appraisal, a campaign timeline, days on market for similar assets
Refinance to a bankA bank or non-bank takes out the loan once a condition is metAn indicative letter or approval, the condition you are waiting on and its date, serviceability on the new lender's terms
Construction financeThe land loan is refinanced into construction funding once the DA is in placeDA status and timeline, a QS cost plan and the builder's contract. Pre-sales aren't required, but evidence of pre-sales or pre-leases counts in your favour
Refinance with Blue Streak CapitalOn completed product, we refinance internally into an interest-only facility that carries the stock while it sells or leases, at rates that are competitive, often better than the marketOccupancy certificate or practical completion, an on-completion valuation, and a sell-down or leasing plan
Lease-up, then refinanceNew income lifts the asset until a bank will lend on itSigned leases or heads of agreement, leasing agent advice, target income against bank criteria

Evidence that carries weight

  • Send documents, not descriptions. One exchanged contract carries more weight than a note about strong buyer interest.
  • Use someone independent. An agent's appraisal, a valuer's report or a lender's letter counts for more than the borrower's own estimate.
  • Pre-sales and pre-leases help. We don't require them, but exchanged contracts or signed leases make an exit easier to believe, and we favour them.
  • Give a date. We can test "bank approval once the lease completes in March". We can't test "refinance when the market improves".

Five mistakes behind most declines

  1. The exit takes longer than the term. If the sell-down needs 14 months, a 12-month loan is set up to default. Ask for the term the exit needs, plus a buffer. We can extend if a borrower needs it, but planning the term properly up front means you shouldn't have to ask.
  2. One buyer, one lender, one event. An exit that depends on a single party is fragile. Show the second path.
  3. Valuation uplift as the plan. "It will be worth more after DA" is a hope until the DA is approved and a valuer agrees.
  4. No room for interest. Capitalised or prepaid interest has to fit under the line at the end of the term, not only at settlement.
  5. No track record. Experience is evidence that the exit will actually be executed. Show the borrower's past projects.

If the exit takes longer than the term, the loan is a default waiting to happen.

How to write it in the scenario

Three sentences are enough. Here is an example for a residual stock loan:

  • How: repaid from settlement of the remaining nine townhouses.
  • When: sell-down over ten months, at the project's sales rate since completion.
  • Evidence: agent appraisal, sales history and three exchanged contracts attached.

The example is illustrative. Your figures will differ.

Send the deal

Enter the deal type, value, loan and term, add your three sentences, and send it. You'll get a first answer within 24 hours, and indicative terms within 2 days.

Submit a scenario

General information only. It isn't financial or legal advice and doesn't take your circumstances into account.